Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (87% H2H, 23 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 53.3% vs Kuraly 50.4% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 27-16 in 43 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 97.2%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 54.6%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 82.6%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 77.4%
77.4%
22.6%
Draisaitl
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
27
-
16
(43 meetings)
27
16
Draisaitl
Kuraly
Last 10: Draisaitl 5-5 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
20
3
Draisaitl
Kuraly
23 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
3
12
Draisaitl
Kuraly
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
4
1
Draisaitl
Kuraly
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (10,240)
51.6% (5,161)
+1.3%
Power Play
55.7% (2,827)
56.4% (101)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (977)
44.4% (1,091)
+6.8%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Draisaitl is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,946).
Draisaitl shoots left. Kuraly is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (4,119).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Kuraly
Home
54.6% (7,049)
52.1% (3,205)
Away
52.0% (6,995)
48.8% (3,149)
By Period
Draisaitl
Kuraly
P1
52.7%
51.2%
P2
53.6%
50.0%
P3
53.4%
50.2%
OT
57.0%
52.3%
Final 5 min
52.0%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.3%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 17:20 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 04:22 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 01:56 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 3 | 06:03 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 1 | 16:06 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 2 | 01:55 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 1 | 06:35 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 16:43 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 19:53 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 18:07 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 08:14 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 03:54 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 12:04 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 3 | 19:55 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 3 | 11:26 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 2 | 15:39 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 2 | 14:39 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 2 | 11:19 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 18:04 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |