Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Draisaitl wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 56.4% vs Aho 50.5% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 77.6%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 70.1%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 73.4%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 74.7%
74.7%
25.3%
Draisaitl
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Draisaitl
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
2
0
Draisaitl
Aho
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Draisaitl
Aho
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
0
Draisaitl
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (835)
50.5% (878)
+5.4%
Power Play
61.8% (228)
53.5% (144)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (40)
44.3% (61)
+5.7%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Draisaitl is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (708).
Draisaitl shoots left. Aho is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Aho
Home
55.1% (508)
53.8% (571)
Away
58.5% (595)
46.9% (512)
By Period
Draisaitl
Aho
P1
55.8%
49.0%
P2
55.7%
51.7%
P3
59.0%
50.3%
OT
60.0%
58.8%
Final 5 min
54.8%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Aho
60.0%▲
50.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 03:56 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 05:19 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 14:52 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 05:06 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |