Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.3% vs 53.7%). Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (79% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 53.3% vs Nosek 53.6% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 18-13 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 79.0%
Defensive zone
Nosek 69.4%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 55.0%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 58.8%
58.8%
41.2%
Draisaitl
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
13
(31 meetings)
18
13
Draisaitl
Nosek
Last 10: Draisaitl 6-4 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
11
3
Draisaitl
Nosek
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
2
7
Draisaitl
Nosek
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
5
3
Draisaitl
Nosek
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (10,240)
54.9% (2,710)
-2.0%
Power Play
55.7% (2,827)
45.8% (48)
+9.9%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (977)
47.2% (428)
+4.0%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Draisaitl is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,946).
Draisaitl shoots left. Nosek is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,959).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Nosek
Home
54.6% (7,049)
52.8% (1,656)
Away
52.0% (6,995)
54.7% (1,530)
By Period
Draisaitl
Nosek
P1
52.7%
52.2%
P2
53.6%
54.1%
P3
53.4%
54.7%
OT
57.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
52.0%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.3%
Nosek
56.0%▲
50.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 14:18 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 3 | 15:00 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 13:07 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 04:30 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 2 | 19:47 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 3 | 14:03 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 3 | 12:54 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 17:14 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 1 | 07:51 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 9, 2020 | 3 | 15:22 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 9, 2020 | 3 | 12:44 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 9, 2020 | 3 | 06:38 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 9, 2020 | 2 | 19:20 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 9, 2020 | 2 | 19:00 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 9, 2020 | 2 | 10:23 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 9, 2020 | 2 | 06:41 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 9, 2020 | 1 | 16:58 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |