Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.9% vs 56.3%). Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Draisaitl wins 63.0% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 56.5% vs Seguin 55.4% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 80.6%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 51.5%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 62.8%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 70.9%
70.9%
29.1%
Draisaitl
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Draisaitl
Seguin
Last 9: Draisaitl 6-3 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
5
1
Draisaitl
Seguin
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
2
Draisaitl
Seguin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
57.4% (1,010)
56.9% (478)
+0.5%
Power Play
56.2% (331)
57.4% (54)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (110)
51.3% (76)
+3.2%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Draisaitl is 63.0% vs right-shot opponents (557).
Draisaitl shoots left. Seguin is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Seguin
Home
56.4% (734)
57.4% (317)
Away
57.5% (717)
55.0% (291)
By Period
Draisaitl
Seguin
P1
55.6%
50.3%
P2
62.1%
60.4%
P3
52.4%
58.0%
OT
61.5%
57.1%
Final 5 min
55.6%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
64.0%▲
54.0%
56.9%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2024 | 3 | 04:48 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 2 | 14:20 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 2 | 03:54 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 1 | 16:02 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 1 | 06:21 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 08:05 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 16:45 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 01:18 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 14:16 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |