Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnston on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Draisaitl wins 63.0% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 56.5% vs Johnston 50.1% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 81.5%
Defensive zone
Johnston 56.5%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 64.0%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 56.5%
56.5%
43.5%
Draisaitl
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Draisaitl
Johnston
Last 9: Draisaitl 5-4 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Draisaitl
Johnston
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
2
3
Draisaitl
Johnston
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
2
0
Draisaitl
Johnston
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
57.4% (1,010)
50.7% (552)
+6.7%
Power Play
56.2% (331)
61.5% (13)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (110)
43.5% (69)
+11.0%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Draisaitl is 63.0% vs right-shot opponents (557).
Draisaitl shoots left. Johnston is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Johnston
Home
56.4% (734)
50.3% (342)
Away
57.5% (717)
50.0% (292)
By Period
Draisaitl
Johnston
P1
55.6%
54.4%
P2
62.1%
47.2%
P3
52.4%
49.4%
OT
61.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
55.6%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
64.0%▲
54.0%
56.9%
Johnston
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2024 | 3 | 14:48 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 3 | 14:43 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 2 | 13:25 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 2 | 04:31 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 17:33 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 13:26 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 07:06 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 09:20 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 06:07 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |