Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Brown wins 38.9% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brown 39.6% vs Bjugstad 49.0% (-11.6%)
H2H factor
Bjugstad leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Brown 73.8%
Defensive zone
Brown 71.6%
Neutral zone
Brown 73.6%
Result
Logan Brown favored at 72.7%
72.7%
27.3%
Brown
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Brown
Bjugstad
Last 10: Brown 3-7 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Brown
Bjugstad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
6
Brown
Bjugstad
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brown
3
1
Brown
Bjugstad
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brown
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
37.4% (457)
48.6% (6,646)
-11.2%
Power Play
39.4% (33)
55.2% (829)
-15.8%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
44.3% (614)
-19.3%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +19.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Brown is 38.9% vs right-shot opponents (185).
Brown shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,753).
Home / Away
Brown
Bjugstad
Home
39.7% (239)
49.8% (4,023)
Away
35.3% (255)
48.1% (4,066)
By Period
Brown
Bjugstad
P1
39.8%
48.9%
P2
33.7%
49.1%
P3
38.9%
48.5%
Final 5 min
42.7%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brown
34.0%▼
36.0%
37.4%
Bjugstad
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2023 | 3 | 09:24 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 3 | 09:21 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 13:56 | Neutral | Logan Brown |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 11:06 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 10:55 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 10:47 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 06:52 | Neutral | Logan Brown |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 1 | 06:25 | Offensive | Logan Brown |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 1 | 06:18 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 1 | 05:58 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 1 | 02:31 | Neutral | Logan Brown |
| Apr 8, 2022 | 2 | 02:54 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |