Scouting Report
Trevor Zegras holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Brown wins 36.6% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brown 39.6% vs Zegras 39.5% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 66.5%
Defensive zone
Brown 54.7%
Neutral zone
Zegras 53.2%
Result
Logan Brown favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Brown
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Brown
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brown
1
0
Brown
Zegras
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brown
1
0
Brown
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brown
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
37.4% (457)
39.0% (1,703)
-1.6%
Power Play
39.4% (33)
38.5% (148)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
25.0% (8)
+0.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Brown is 36.6% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Brown shoots left. Zegras is 39.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,252).
Home / Away
Brown
Zegras
Home
39.7% (239)
40.5% (908)
Away
35.3% (255)
37.3% (951)
By Period
Brown
Zegras
P1
39.8%
40.0%
P2
33.7%
38.6%
P3
38.9%
38.2%
Final 5 min
42.7%
40.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brown
34.0%▼
36.0%
37.4%
Zegras
42.0%▲
28.0%
38.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 02:48 | Defensive | Logan Brown |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 2 | 12:37 | Neutral | Logan Brown |