Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (39.3% vs 39.9%). Brown wins 35.2% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brown 43.3% vs Zegras 41.5% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 64.6%
Defensive zone
Brown 79.1%
Neutral zone
Brown 56.2%
Result
Logan Brown favored at 67.6%
67.6%
32.4%
Brown
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Brown
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brown
1
0
Brown
Zegras
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brown
1
0
Brown
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brown
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
39.2% (166)
39.4% (510)
-0.2%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
47.1% (34)
+52.9%
On power play, Brown has a +52.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Brown is 35.2% vs left-shot opponents (88).
Brown shoots left. Zegras is 37.7% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Brown
Zegras
Home
36.5% (85)
42.3% (272)
Away
42.2% (83)
37.5% (272)
By Period
Brown
Zegras
P1
42.1%
37.6%
P2
29.1%
41.5%
P3
46.4%
40.8%
Final 5 min
45.3%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brown
34.0%▼
36.0%
39.3%
Zegras
42.0%▲
28.0%
39.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 02:48 | Defensive | Logan Brown |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 2 | 12:37 | Neutral | Logan Brown |