Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Cooley on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cooley wins 44.5% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cooley 45.1% vs McCarron 52.1% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cooley 93.1%
Defensive zone
McCarron 74.3%
Neutral zone
Cooley 64.9%
Result
Logan Cooley favored at 61.8%
61.8%
38.2%
Cooley
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Cooley
McCarron
Last 7: Cooley 2-5 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
2
Cooley
McCarron
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
2
Cooley
McCarron
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cooley
2
1
Cooley
McCarron
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cooley
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (421)
52.8% (697)
-9.3%
Power Play
46.3% (82)
18.2% (11)
+28.1%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
52.6% (211)
+4.5%
On power play, Cooley has a +28.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Cooley is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (191).
Cooley shoots left. McCarron is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (645).
Home / Away
Cooley
McCarron
Home
45.0% (240)
52.8% (477)
Away
43.3% (270)
51.8% (442)
By Period
Cooley
McCarron
P1
44.1%
56.2%
P2
48.8%
52.4%
P3
37.7%
48.7%
Final 5 min
45.9%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cooley
42.0%▼
49.5%
44.1%
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 18:57 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 15:51 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 11:05 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 13:13 | Neutral | Logan Cooley |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Logan Cooley |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 13:06 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 09:53 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |