Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Cooley on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Cooley wins 43.9% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cooley 45.1% vs Backlund 49.8% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Cooley 87.1%
Defensive zone
Backlund 85.7%
Neutral zone
Backlund 53.9%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Cooley
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Cooley
Backlund
Last 10: Cooley 5-5 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cooley
4
0
Cooley
Backlund
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
4
Cooley
Backlund
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Cooley
Backlund
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cooley
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (421)
50.5% (944)
-7.0%
Power Play
46.3% (82)
51.5% (66)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
47.1% (297)
+10.0%
On penalty kill, Cooley has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Cooley is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (319).
Cooley shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Home / Away
Cooley
Backlund
Home
45.0% (240)
48.1% (636)
Away
43.3% (270)
51.4% (671)
By Period
Cooley
Backlund
P1
44.1%
45.4%
P2
48.8%
54.1%
P3
37.7%
49.2%
Final 5 min
45.9%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cooley
42.0%▼
49.5%
44.1%
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2025 | 3 | 19:37 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 3 | 16:41 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 3 | 02:33 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Logan Cooley |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 2 | 13:48 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 2 | 04:05 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 1 | 18:01 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 1 | 13:45 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 1 | 07:00 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 1 | 04:00 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 1 | 00:18 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Logan Cooley |