Scouting Report
Ryan Donato holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Cooley on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Cooley wins 41.3% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cooley 42.6% vs Donato 44.7% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 59.5%
Defensive zone
Donato 56.9%
Neutral zone
Donato 57.3%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 58.8%
41.2%
58.8%
Cooley
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Cooley
Donato
Last 7: Cooley 5-2 Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cooley
5
0
Cooley
Donato
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Donato
0
1
Cooley
Donato
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Donato
0
1
Cooley
Donato
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cooley
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (1,687)
44.0% (1,218)
-2.3%
Power Play
46.1% (228)
46.0% (248)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (44)
41.7% (12)
+1.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Cooley is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,234).
Cooley shoots left. Donato is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (909).
Home / Away
Cooley
Donato
Home
43.1% (990)
47.2% (743)
Away
41.3% (969)
41.4% (735)
By Period
Cooley
Donato
P1
42.3%
43.8%
P2
43.8%
44.9%
P3
39.9%
43.7%
OT
100.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
39.5%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cooley
42.0%▼
49.5%
42.2%
Donato
40.0%▼
46.0%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 02:18 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 2 | 00:45 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 01:36 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 1 | 00:24 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 1 | 06:29 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 2 | 07:36 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 2 | 19:00 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |