Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Cooley wins 43.9% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cooley 45.1% vs O'Reilly 55.0% (-11.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cooley 78.3%
Defensive zone
Cooley 70.6%
Neutral zone
Cooley 76.8%
Result
Logan Cooley favored at 77.8%
77.8%
22.2%
Cooley
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Cooley
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Cooley
O'Reilly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Cooley
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cooley
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (421)
55.7% (856)
-12.2%
Power Play
46.3% (82)
57.5% (233)
-11.2%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
50.0% (144)
+7.1%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Cooley is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (319).
Cooley shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Home / Away
Cooley
O'Reilly
Home
45.0% (240)
55.5% (616)
Away
43.3% (270)
55.3% (617)
By Period
Cooley
O'Reilly
P1
44.1%
58.1%
P2
48.8%
54.9%
P3
37.7%
53.9%
Final 5 min
45.9%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cooley
42.0%▼
49.5%
44.1%
O'Reilly
54.0%▬
55.0%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 05:02 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 10:39 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 07:23 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |