Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Cooley on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Cooley wins 41.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cooley 42.6% vs Hertl 54.3% (-12.1%)
H2H factor
Cooley leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 82.2%
Defensive zone
Hertl 92.6%
Neutral zone
Hertl 90.8%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 88.9%
11.1%
88.9%
Cooley
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
Cooley
Hertl
Last 10: Cooley 6-4 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
3
Cooley
Hertl
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cooley
4
0
Cooley
Hertl
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cooley
4
2
Cooley
Hertl
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cooley
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (1,687)
53.9% (8,303)
-12.2%
Power Play
46.1% (228)
59.2% (1,995)
-13.1%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (44)
46.3% (806)
-3.1%
On power play, Hertl has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Cooley is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,234).
Cooley shoots left. Hertl is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (6,962).
Home / Away
Cooley
Hertl
Home
43.1% (990)
55.8% (5,382)
Away
41.3% (969)
52.9% (5,722)
By Period
Cooley
Hertl
P1
42.3%
53.6%
P2
43.8%
54.2%
P3
39.9%
55.3%
OT
100.0%
46.9%
Final 5 min
39.5%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cooley
42.0%▼
49.5%
42.2%
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 07:24 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 01:31 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 1 | 16:03 | Neutral | Logan Cooley |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 1 | 10:58 | Defensive | Logan Cooley |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 15:17 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 00:45 | Neutral | Logan Cooley |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 14:22 | Defensive | Logan Cooley |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 11:17 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 18:08 | Neutral | Logan Cooley |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 00:32 | Defensive | Logan Cooley |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 1 | 19:26 | Neutral | Logan Cooley |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 1 | 16:33 | Defensive | Logan Cooley |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 2 | 06:11 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 1 | 16:59 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |