Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 48.3% vs Paul 52.2% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couture 67.8%
Defensive zone
Couture 69.2%
Neutral zone
Couture 70.1%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 68.8%
68.8%
31.2%
Couture
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Couture
Paul
Last 9: Couture 2-7 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
1
3
Couture
Paul
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
1
2
Couture
Paul
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
0
2
Couture
Paul
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (8,919)
52.6% (3,823)
-3.8%
Power Play
54.6% (624)
56.2% (484)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (992)
46.9% (576)
-7.1%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Couture is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (6,927).
Couture shoots left. Paul is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,089).
Home / Away
Couture
Paul
Home
49.4% (5,418)
52.8% (2,445)
Away
47.1% (5,135)
51.7% (2,439)
By Period
Couture
Paul
P1
47.9%
53.8%
P2
47.9%
51.0%
P3
49.2%
52.2%
OT
48.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.7%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
48.3%
Paul
54.0%▼
56.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2023 | 1 | 02:53 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 14:51 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 2 | 04:18 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 18:39 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 14:38 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 13:13 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 16:22 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 17:21 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 2 | 01:29 | Offensive | Nick Paul |