Scouting Report
Logan Couture holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Couture on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Couture wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 48.3% vs Schmaltz 42.6% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Couture leads 13-11 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 57.3%
Defensive zone
Couture 81.9%
Neutral zone
Couture 66.5%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 68.6%
68.6%
31.4%
Couture
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
11
(24 meetings)
13
11
Couture
Schmaltz
Last 10: Couture 6-4 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
4
Couture
Schmaltz
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couture
6
5
Couture
Schmaltz
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couture
6
2
Couture
Schmaltz
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (8,919)
41.3% (3,431)
+7.5%
Power Play
54.6% (624)
47.3% (655)
+7.3%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (992)
47.4% (135)
-7.6%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Couture is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,626).
Couture shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,049).
Home / Away
Couture
Schmaltz
Home
49.4% (5,418)
42.8% (2,114)
Away
47.1% (5,135)
42.0% (2,107)
By Period
Couture
Schmaltz
P1
47.9%
41.3%
P2
47.9%
42.8%
P3
49.2%
43.1%
OT
48.0%
42.4%
Final 5 min
45.7%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
48.3%
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
42.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 17:04 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 1 | 09:01 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 3 | 13:54 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 3 | 00:39 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 1 | 09:11 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 1 | 03:35 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 3 | 03:02 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 2 | 18:48 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 1 | 14:30 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 1 | 06:21 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 1 | 02:18 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 3 | 15:54 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 3 | 15:16 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 2 | 04:10 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 2 | 01:36 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 3 | 03:10 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 3 | 12:10 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 3 | 00:28 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |