Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Couture on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 48.3% vs McLeod 49.5% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 51.3%
Defensive zone
McLeod 54.3%
Neutral zone
McLeod 52.6%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Couture
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Couture
McLeod
Last 9: Couture 5-4 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couture
4
0
Couture
McLeod
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Couture
McLeod
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
3
Couture
McLeod
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (8,919)
50.4% (3,376)
-1.6%
Power Play
54.6% (624)
50.7% (296)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (992)
44.1% (644)
-4.3%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Couture is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (6,927).
Couture shoots left. McLeod is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,809).
Home / Away
Couture
McLeod
Home
49.4% (5,418)
50.0% (2,202)
Away
47.1% (5,135)
48.9% (2,114)
By Period
Couture
McLeod
P1
47.9%
50.8%
P2
47.9%
48.0%
P3
49.2%
50.0%
OT
48.0%
37.1%
Final 5 min
45.7%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
48.3%
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 08:39 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 3 | 18:09 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 3 | 12:14 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 1 | 00:53 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 3 | 14:42 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 3 | 09:46 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 3 | 09:37 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 2 | 03:14 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 1 | 14:19 | Defensive | Logan Couture |