Scouting Report
Shane Pinto holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Pinto on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Couture wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 48.3% vs Pinto 50.2% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couture 64.7%
Defensive zone
Couture 52.4%
Neutral zone
Couture 57.2%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 61.7%
61.7%
38.3%
Couture
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Couture
Pinto
Last 5: Couture 1-4 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
3
Couture
Pinto
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Couture
Pinto
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (8,919)
50.5% (2,576)
-1.7%
Power Play
54.6% (624)
54.4% (90)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (992)
44.5% (218)
-4.7%
On penalty kill, Pinto has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Couture is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,626).
Couture shoots left. Pinto is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,056).
Home / Away
Couture
Pinto
Home
49.4% (5,418)
50.8% (1,444)
Away
47.1% (5,135)
49.7% (1,440)
By Period
Couture
Pinto
P1
47.9%
48.2%
P2
47.9%
52.1%
P3
49.2%
50.4%
OT
48.0%
46.4%
Final 5 min
45.7%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
48.3%
Pinto
44.0%▼
46.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 17:55 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 06:16 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 11:03 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 01:18 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 12:34 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |