Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Couture on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Couture wins 45.3% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 47.6% vs Seguin 54.2% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 71.6%
Defensive zone
Couture 56.8%
Neutral zone
Seguin 56.1%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 61.3%
38.7%
61.3%
Couture
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Couture
Seguin
Last 9: Couture 5-4 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couture
2
1
Couture
Seguin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Couture
Seguin
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (1,083)
55.0% (713)
-5.8%
Power Play
56.7% (60)
56.7% (104)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (206)
47.2% (53)
-11.8%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Couture is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (492).
Couture shoots left. Seguin is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Couture
Seguin
Home
49.6% (713)
56.2% (443)
Away
45.0% (636)
53.2% (427)
By Period
Couture
Seguin
P1
47.2%
54.2%
P2
45.0%
52.9%
P3
50.0%
57.1%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
42.8%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
47.4%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2023 | 3 | 09:21 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 3 | 09:13 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 1 | 07:32 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 08:53 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 3 | 10:45 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 2 | 14:58 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 2 | 00:29 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 1 | 06:13 | Neutral | Logan Couture |