Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.6% vs 45.2%). Shaw wins 44.5% vs left-shot opponents — Sestito shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 45.5% vs Sestito 46.0% (-0.6%)
Offensive zone
Sestito 51.6%
Defensive zone
Sestito 50.3%
Neutral zone
Shaw 53.5%
Result
Logan Shaw favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Shaw
Sestito
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Sestito
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (418)
45.7% (457)
+0.7%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
55.6% (9)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (96)
34.2% (38)
+1.2%
On power play, Shaw has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sestito shoots left. Shaw is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Shaw shoots right. Sestito is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (158).
Home / Away
Shaw
Sestito
Home
46.2% (236)
48.0% (273)
Away
43.3% (284)
41.9% (234)
By Period
Shaw
Sestito
P1
41.3%
42.5%
P2
46.4%
42.1%
P3
46.9%
52.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
46.0%▼
50.5%
44.6%
Sestito
36.0%▼
44.0%
45.2%