Scouting Report
William Nylander holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Nylander on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Shaw wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — Nylander shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 45.5% vs Nylander 49.9% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nylander 65.5%
Defensive zone
Shaw 70.3%
Neutral zone
Shaw 56.4%
Result
Logan Shaw favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
Shaw
Nylander
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Shaw
Nylander
Last 9: Shaw 4-5 Nylander
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nylander
1
2
Shaw
Nylander
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Shaw
Nylander
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Shaw
Nylander
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Nylander
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (418)
50.2% (1,874)
-3.8%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
46.7% (229)
+20.0%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (96)
54.8% (31)
-19.4%
On power play, Shaw has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nylander shoots right. Shaw is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (167).
Shaw shoots right. Nylander is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (611).
Home / Away
Shaw
Nylander
Home
46.2% (236)
51.3% (1,186)
Away
43.3% (284)
48.1% (948)
By Period
Shaw
Nylander
P1
41.3%
51.1%
P2
46.4%
45.6%
P3
46.9%
53.1%
Final 5 min
50.4%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
46.0%▼
50.5%
44.6%
Nylander
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | William Nylander |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 3 | 18:23 | Defensive | William Nylander |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 3 | 15:00 | Defensive | William Nylander |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 2 | 13:55 | Neutral | Logan Shaw |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 2 | 02:09 | Offensive | William Nylander |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 1 | 15:55 | Offensive | William Nylander |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 1 | 12:02 | Defensive | Logan Shaw |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 1 | 06:41 | Defensive | Logan Shaw |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 1 | 02:10 | Offensive | Logan Shaw |