Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.3% vs 44.5%). Look for Stankoven on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Stankoven wins 42.8% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stankoven 45.1% vs Cates 45.2% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Stankoven leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Stankoven 62.5%
Defensive zone
Cates 72.7%
Neutral zone
Cates 52.6%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Stankoven
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
7
(17 meetings)
10
7
Stankoven
Cates
Last 10: Stankoven 6-4 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stankoven
3
0
Stankoven
Cates
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stankoven
4
1
Stankoven
Cates
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cates
3
6
Stankoven
Cates
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stankoven
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (544)
44.2% (566)
-0.1%
Power Play
44.0% (75)
44.0% (84)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (4)
50.0% (38)
+25.0%
On penalty kill, Stankoven has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Stankoven is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Stankoven shoots right. Cates is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Home / Away
Stankoven
Cates
Home
45.0% (318)
45.1% (350)
Away
43.6% (305)
43.8% (338)
By Period
Stankoven
Cates
P1
42.7%
46.8%
P2
44.8%
46.5%
P3
45.8%
40.8%
OT
0.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
40.1%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stankoven
50.0%▲
46.5%
44.3%
Cates
56.0%▲
46.5%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 15:44 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 06:13 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 05:44 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 02:03 | Offensive | Logan Stankoven |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 16:07 | Neutral | Logan Stankoven |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 01:47 | Defensive | Logan Stankoven |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 01:41 | Defensive | Logan Stankoven |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 01:26 | Defensive | Logan Stankoven |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 00:08 | Neutral | Logan Stankoven |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 12:53 | Defensive | Logan Stankoven |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 09:07 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 06:18 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 00:21 | Offensive | Logan Stankoven |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Logan Stankoven |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 10:47 | Offensive | Logan Stankoven |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noah Cates |