Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Stankoven wins 43.6% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stankoven 45.0% vs Steel 50.2% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stankoven 71.9%
Defensive zone
Steel 51.0%
Neutral zone
Stankoven 57.6%
Result
Logan Stankoven favored at 65.5%
65.5%
34.5%
Stankoven
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Stankoven
Steel
Last 9: Stankoven 4-5 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stankoven
3
2
Stankoven
Steel
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
1
3
Stankoven
Steel
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stankoven
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (916)
50.6% (2,876)
-6.1%
Power Play
44.4% (108)
62.6% (179)
-18.2%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
37.4% (254)
+5.5%
On power play, Steel has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Stankoven is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (730).
Stankoven shoots right. Steel is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,237).
Home / Away
Stankoven
Steel
Home
44.9% (555)
50.0% (1,560)
Away
44.1% (476)
50.4% (1,749)
By Period
Stankoven
Steel
P1
44.6%
51.9%
P2
43.0%
49.5%
P3
46.4%
49.6%
OT
0.0%
41.9%
Final 5 min
40.5%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stankoven
42.0%▬
42.5%
44.5%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 09:16 | Offensive | Logan Stankoven |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 00:36 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 2 | 16:06 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 2 | 05:17 | Neutral | Logan Stankoven |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 14:34 | Offensive | Logan Stankoven |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 08:39 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 06:05 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 10:15 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 18:07 | Offensive | Logan Stankoven |