Scouting Report
Logan Stankoven holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Stankoven wins 43.6% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stankoven 45.0% vs Novak 43.0% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Novak 55.8%
Defensive zone
Novak 53.0%
Neutral zone
Novak 51.6%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Stankoven
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Stankoven
Novak
Last 5: Stankoven 2-3 Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stankoven
Novak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stankoven
1
0
Stankoven
Novak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Novak
0
2
Stankoven
Novak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stankoven
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (916)
41.8% (1,568)
+2.7%
Power Play
44.4% (108)
51.5% (134)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
50.0% (2)
-7.1%
On power play, Novak has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Stankoven is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (730).
Stankoven shoots right. Novak is 41.6% vs right-shot opponents (611).
Home / Away
Stankoven
Novak
Home
44.9% (555)
45.1% (831)
Away
44.1% (476)
40.2% (873)
By Period
Stankoven
Novak
P1
44.6%
43.7%
P2
43.0%
42.8%
P3
46.4%
41.1%
OT
0.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
40.5%
40.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stankoven
42.0%▬
42.5%
44.5%
Novak
32.0%▼
39.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 04:45 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 08:44 | Defensive | Logan Stankoven |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 08:33 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 18:42 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 2 | 18:23 | Offensive | Logan Stankoven |