Scouting Report
Lucas Wallmark holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Wallmark on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wallmark 50.2% vs Zacha 49.2% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Wallmark leads 17-11 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 63.7%
Defensive zone
Wallmark 57.9%
Neutral zone
Wallmark 52.4%
Result
Lucas Wallmark favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Wallmark
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
11
(28 meetings)
17
11
Wallmark
Zacha
Last 10: Wallmark 8-2 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wallmark
4
2
Wallmark
Zacha
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
8
8
Wallmark
Zacha
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wallmark
5
1
Wallmark
Zacha
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wallmark
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (1,852)
48.9% (5,156)
+1.6%
Power Play
56.3% (103)
55.7% (813)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (216)
42.2% (557)
+2.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Wallmark is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,391).
Wallmark shoots left. Zacha is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,965).
Home / Away
Wallmark
Zacha
Home
50.8% (1,070)
49.7% (3,381)
Away
49.6% (1,101)
48.6% (3,145)
By Period
Wallmark
Zacha
P1
51.4%
49.9%
P2
50.8%
49.2%
P3
48.7%
48.2%
OT
0.0%
53.5%
Final 5 min
50.4%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wallmark
44.0%▬
44.5%
50.2%
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2020 | 2 | 09:39 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 3 | 15:13 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 3 | 15:28 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 3 | 12:06 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 2 | 07:24 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 2 | 01:36 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 1 | 12:20 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 1 | 04:56 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 1 | 04:47 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 1 | 01:50 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 1 | 01:33 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Feb 10, 2019 | 3 | 05:07 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 10, 2019 | 2 | 15:35 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Feb 10, 2019 | 1 | 17:24 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 10, 2019 | 1 | 06:58 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 3 | 19:18 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 3 | 16:32 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 3 | 06:42 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 2 | 15:53 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 2 | 01:15 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |