Scouting Report
Lucas Wallmark holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Wallmark on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wallmark 50.2% vs Donato 44.7% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 68.4%
Defensive zone
Wallmark 72.4%
Neutral zone
Wallmark 50.3%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Wallmark
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Wallmark
Donato
Last 6: Wallmark 3-3 Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Donato
0
2
Wallmark
Donato
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wallmark
3
1
Wallmark
Donato
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wallmark
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (1,852)
44.0% (1,218)
+6.5%
Power Play
56.3% (103)
46.0% (248)
+10.3%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (216)
41.7% (12)
+3.2%
On power play, Wallmark has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Wallmark is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,391).
Wallmark shoots left. Donato is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (909).
Home / Away
Wallmark
Donato
Home
50.8% (1,070)
47.2% (743)
Away
49.6% (1,101)
41.4% (735)
By Period
Wallmark
Donato
P1
51.4%
43.8%
P2
50.8%
44.9%
P3
48.7%
43.7%
OT
0.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wallmark
44.0%▬
44.5%
50.2%
Donato
40.0%▼
46.0%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2019 | 3 | 09:08 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 3 | 05:49 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 3 | 05:25 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 3 | 01:45 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 2 | 13:24 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 1 | 09:00 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |