Lucas Wallmark vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Lucas Wallmark holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Wallmark on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wallmark 50.2% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.7% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Wallmark leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Wallmark 59.3%
Defensive zone
Wallmark 84.9%
Neutral zone
Wallmark 80.7%
Result
Lucas Wallmark favored at 78.0%
78.0%
22.0%
Wallmark
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Wallmark
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Wallmark 8-2 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wallmark
2
0
Wallmark
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wallmark
2
1
Wallmark
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wallmark
4
2
Wallmark
Nugent-Hopkins
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wallmark
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (1,852)
44.8% (8,775)
+5.7%
Power Play
56.3% (103)
50.6% (844)
+5.7%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (216)
37.8% (880)
+7.1%
On penalty kill, Wallmark has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Wallmark is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,391).
Wallmark shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (6,858).
Home / Away
Wallmark
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
50.8% (1,070)
46.5% (5,361)
Away
49.6% (1,101)
42.8% (5,150)
By Period
Wallmark
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
51.4%
45.1%
P2
50.8%
43.9%
P3
48.7%
45.2%
OT
0.0%
43.2%
Final 5 min
50.4%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wallmark
44.0%▬
44.5%
50.2%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2019 | 2 | 07:45 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 1 | 17:58 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 15, 2019 | 3 | 06:57 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 15, 2019 | 3 | 06:41 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Feb 15, 2019 | 2 | 07:19 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Feb 15, 2019 | 1 | 11:24 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Feb 15, 2019 | 1 | 07:31 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Feb 15, 2019 | 1 | 03:39 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Feb 15, 2019 | 1 | 01:45 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Feb 15, 2019 | 1 | 01:32 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Feb 15, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |