Scouting Report
Lucas Wallmark holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Wallmark on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wallmark 50.2% vs Oshie 46.4% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Oshie 78.6%
Defensive zone
Wallmark 90.1%
Neutral zone
Wallmark 69.7%
Result
Lucas Wallmark favored at 60.6%
60.6%
39.4%
Wallmark
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Wallmark
Oshie
Last 7: Wallmark 5-2 Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Oshie
1
2
Wallmark
Oshie
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wallmark
4
0
Wallmark
Oshie
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wallmark
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (1,852)
45.2% (764)
+5.3%
Power Play
56.3% (103)
47.7% (1,221)
+8.6%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (216)
40.2% (164)
+4.7%
On power play, Wallmark has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Wallmark is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (780).
Wallmark shoots left. Oshie is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,672).
Home / Away
Wallmark
Oshie
Home
50.8% (1,070)
48.7% (1,103)
Away
49.6% (1,101)
43.7% (1,047)
By Period
Wallmark
Oshie
P1
51.4%
47.3%
P2
50.8%
45.2%
P3
48.7%
46.7%
OT
0.0%
40.8%
Final 5 min
50.4%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wallmark
44.0%▬
44.5%
50.2%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2019 | 3 | 01:11 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 2 | 17:18 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 2 | 06:18 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 2 | 04:16 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 1 | 01:50 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 3 | 07:20 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 2 | 03:34 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |