Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +13.3% FO% edge overall. Reichel wins 39.9% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Reichel 41.6% vs Nosek 53.6% (-13.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reichel 65.3%
Defensive zone
Nosek 55.2%
Neutral zone
Reichel 56.5%
Result
Lukas Reichel favored at 57.7%
57.7%
42.3%
Reichel
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Reichel
Nosek
Last 5: Reichel 2-3 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Reichel
Nosek
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Reichel
Nosek
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Reichel
Nosek
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Reichel
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
40.1% (668)
54.9% (2,710)
-14.8%
Power Play
48.2% (56)
45.8% (48)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (6)
47.2% (428)
-47.2%
On penalty kill, Nosek has a +47.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Reichel is 39.9% vs left-shot opponents (446).
Reichel shoots left. Nosek is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,959).
Home / Away
Reichel
Nosek
Home
41.2% (410)
52.8% (1,656)
Away
39.4% (320)
54.7% (1,530)
By Period
Reichel
Nosek
P1
41.9%
52.2%
P2
36.3%
54.1%
P3
42.8%
54.7%
OT
100.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
36.6%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Reichel
42.0%▲
40.0%
40.4%
Nosek
56.0%▲
50.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2025 | 3 | 10:24 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 3 | 07:35 | Offensive | Lukas Reichel |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 1 | 10:38 | Neutral | Lukas Reichel |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 2 | 12:41 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 1 | 01:45 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |