Scouting Report
Lukas Reichel holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Reichel wins 41.2% vs right-shot opponents — Smith shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Reichel 41.6% vs Smith 39.9% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 64.9%
Defensive zone
Reichel 66.5%
Neutral zone
Smith 55.5%
Result
Will Smith favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Reichel
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Reichel
Smith
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Reichel
Smith
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Reichel
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
40.1% (668)
33.5% (194)
+6.6%
Power Play
48.2% (56)
48.1% (27)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (6)
50.0% (2)
-50.0%
On penalty kill, Smith has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots right. Reichel is 41.2% vs right-shot opponents (284).
Reichel shoots left. Smith is 36.4% vs left-shot opponents (165).
Home / Away
Reichel
Smith
Home
41.2% (410)
33.6% (128)
Away
39.4% (320)
37.9% (95)
By Period
Reichel
Smith
P1
41.9%
37.1%
P2
36.3%
33.8%
P3
42.8%
33.9%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
36.6%
34.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Reichel
42.0%▲
40.0%
40.4%
Smith
36.0%▬
37.0%
35.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 16:54 | Neutral | Lukas Reichel |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 00:43 | Neutral | Will Smith |