Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Sedlak wins 42.0% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sedlak 47.6% vs Stamkos 53.4% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sedlak 66.5%
Defensive zone
Sedlak 76.3%
Neutral zone
Sedlak 69.8%
Result
Lukas Sedlak favored at 72.4%
72.4%
27.6%
Sedlak
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Sedlak
Stamkos
Last 5: Sedlak 1-4 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Sedlak
Stamkos
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
3
Sedlak
Stamkos
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sedlak
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (161)
55.3% (628)
-6.9%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
55.1% (216)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (20)
40.2% (87)
-15.2%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Sedlak is 42.0% vs right-shot opponents (69).
Sedlak shoots left. Stamkos is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (659).
Home / Away
Sedlak
Stamkos
Home
51.9% (104)
55.5% (499)
Away
39.5% (86)
51.9% (432)
By Period
Sedlak
Stamkos
P1
45.6%
50.7%
P2
46.6%
53.8%
P3
46.7%
55.9%
Final 5 min
51.1%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sedlak
44.0%▼
45.5%
46.3%
Stamkos
56.0%▬
56.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 16:36 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 05:06 | Offensive | Lukas Sedlak |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 07:32 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 1 | 09:56 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 1 | 03:58 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |