Scouting Report
Luke Adam holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Adam wins 38.6% vs left-shot opponents — Joseph shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Adam 42.8% vs Joseph 40.9% (+2.6%)
Offensive zone
Joseph 53.0%
Defensive zone
Adam 53.3%
Neutral zone
Joseph 51.3%
Result
Mathieu Joseph favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Adam
Joseph
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Adam
Joseph
Edge
Even Strength
40.3% (377)
37.4% (337)
+2.9%
Power Play
50.0% (26)
57.1% (7)
-7.1%
On power play, Joseph has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Joseph shoots left. Adam is 38.6% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Adam shoots left. Joseph is 38.6% vs left-shot opponents (220).
Home / Away
Adam
Joseph
Home
44.9% (187)
38.8% (183)
Away
37.6% (218)
37.9% (182)
By Period
Adam
Joseph
P1
42.1%
36.2%
P2
37.9%
29.4%
P3
43.2%
53.1%
Final 5 min
45.5%
43.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Adam
44.0%▬
43.5%
41.0%
Joseph
44.0%▲
41.5%
38.4%