Scouting Report
Luke Glendening holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 65.0% vs right-shot opponents — Glendening shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.1% vs Glendening 55.4% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 58.0%
Defensive zone
Glendening 68.1%
Neutral zone
Staal 51.4%
Result
Luke Glendening favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Staal
Glendening
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Staal
Glendening
Last 6: Staal 5-1 Glendening
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
1
Staal
Glendening
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Glendening
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Glendening
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Glendening
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (943)
58.5% (509)
-4.3%
Power Play
69.6% (79)
51.9% (27)
+17.7%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (262)
49.4% (164)
+1.4%
On power play, Staal has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Glendening shoots right. Staal is 65.0% vs right-shot opponents (452).
Staal shoots left. Glendening is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Home / Away
Staal
Glendening
Home
55.0% (593)
53.8% (342)
Away
54.0% (691)
58.4% (358)
By Period
Staal
Glendening
P1
54.3%
55.7%
P2
53.5%
52.8%
P3
55.2%
59.5%
OT
58.6%
71.4%
Final 5 min
55.4%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.4%
Glendening
56.0%▲
49.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2020 | 2 | 04:30 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 1 | 12:14 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 1 | 06:32 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 24, 2019 | 2 | 17:25 | Offensive | Luke Glendening |
| Nov 24, 2019 | 1 | 12:45 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 24, 2019 | 1 | 08:43 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |