Scouting Report
Luke Glendening holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Glendening on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Glendening wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Glendening 51.9% vs Dowd 48.6% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Glendening 83.1%
Defensive zone
Glendening 52.5%
Neutral zone
Glendening 72.2%
Result
Luke Glendening favored at 75.5%
75.5%
24.5%
Glendening
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Glendening
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Glendening
3
0
Glendening
Dowd
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Glendening
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Glendening
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (420)
51.0% (671)
+2.6%
Power Play
100.0% (4)
0.0% (2)
+100.0%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (148)
41.5% (224)
+5.8%
On power play, Glendening has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Glendening is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (156).
Glendening shoots right. Dowd is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Home / Away
Glendening
Dowd
Home
48.0% (256)
48.2% (471)
Away
55.7% (316)
48.8% (426)
By Period
Glendening
Dowd
P1
50.9%
48.3%
P2
51.7%
46.8%
P3
53.3%
51.0%
OT
83.3%
30.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Glendening
56.0%▲
49.0%
52.3%
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | OT | 04:54 | Offensive | Luke Glendening |
| Nov 15, 2025 | OT | 04:46 | Offensive | Luke Glendening |
| Nov 15, 2025 | OT | 01:49 | Offensive | Luke Glendening |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 18:06 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |