Scouting Report
Luke Glendening holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Glendening on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Glendening wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Glendening 51.4% vs Dowd 49.5% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Glendening 82.9%
Defensive zone
Glendening 54.7%
Neutral zone
Glendening 68.9%
Result
Luke Glendening favored at 75.9%
75.9%
24.1%
Glendening
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Glendening
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Glendening
3
0
Glendening
Dowd
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Glendening
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Glendening
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (370)
53.4% (485)
+0.7%
Power Play
100.0% (4)
0.0% (2)
+100.0%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (133)
39.8% (186)
+3.8%
On power play, Glendening has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Glendening is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Glendening shoots right. Dowd is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (245).
Home / Away
Glendening
Dowd
Home
46.5% (213)
48.5% (307)
Away
55.4% (294)
50.3% (366)
By Period
Glendening
Dowd
P1
49.7%
50.7%
P2
51.9%
49.1%
P3
52.2%
49.6%
OT
83.3%
30.0%
Final 5 min
41.4%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Glendening
66.0%▲
49.5%
51.7%
Dowd
48.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | OT | 04:54 | Offensive | Luke Glendening |
| Nov 15, 2025 | OT | 04:46 | Offensive | Luke Glendening |
| Nov 15, 2025 | OT | 01:49 | Offensive | Luke Glendening |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 18:06 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |