Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Glendening 51.9% vs O'Reilly 55.0% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 64.1%
Defensive zone
Glendening 81.7%
Neutral zone
Glendening 58.2%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 59.7%
40.3%
59.7%
Glendening
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Glendening
O'Reilly
Last 5: Glendening 1-4 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
3
Glendening
O'Reilly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Glendening
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Glendening
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (420)
55.7% (856)
-2.1%
Power Play
100.0% (4)
57.5% (233)
+42.5%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (148)
50.0% (144)
-2.7%
On power play, Glendening has a +42.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Glendening is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (413).
Glendening shoots right. O'Reilly is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (530).
Home / Away
Glendening
O'Reilly
Home
48.0% (256)
55.5% (616)
Away
55.7% (316)
55.3% (617)
By Period
Glendening
O'Reilly
P1
50.9%
58.1%
P2
51.7%
54.9%
P3
53.3%
53.9%
OT
83.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Glendening
56.0%▲
49.0%
52.3%
O'Reilly
54.0%▬
55.0%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 12:35 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 19:31 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 12:40 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 12:09 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 05:54 | Offensive | Luke Glendening |