Scouting Report
Luke Glendening holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Glendening on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 36 meetings). Glendening wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Glendening 55.6% vs Hertl 54.3% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Glendening leads 47-42 in 89 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 79.5%
Defensive zone
Glendening 90.5%
Neutral zone
Glendening 54.4%
Result
Luke Glendening favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Glendening
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
47
-
42
(89 meetings)
47
42
Glendening
Hertl
Last 10: Glendening 7-3 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
8
30
Glendening
Hertl
38 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Glendening
30
6
Glendening
Hertl
36 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Glendening
9
6
Glendening
Hertl
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Glendening
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (7,786)
53.9% (8,303)
+4.0%
Power Play
56.4% (195)
59.2% (1,995)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (2,505)
46.3% (806)
+2.3%
On even strength, Glendening has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Glendening is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,262).
Glendening shoots right. Hertl is 56.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,142).
Home / Away
Glendening
Hertl
Home
55.4% (5,270)
55.8% (5,382)
Away
55.9% (5,216)
52.9% (5,722)
By Period
Glendening
Hertl
P1
56.1%
53.6%
P2
54.5%
54.2%
P3
56.5%
55.3%
OT
48.9%
46.9%
Final 5 min
54.6%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Glendening
56.0%▲
49.0%
55.6%
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2025 | OT | 04:55 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 3 | 15:02 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 3 | 08:13 | Offensive | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 2 | 18:35 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 2 | 17:16 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 1 | 00:39 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 3 | 14:11 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 11:43 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 02:35 | Offensive | Luke Glendening |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 2 | 18:44 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 2 | 15:28 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 1 | 19:55 | Offensive | Luke Glendening |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 1 | 04:46 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 01:08 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 14:06 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 18:13 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 14:37 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 14:31 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 04:07 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 03:54 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |