Scouting Report
Luke Glendening holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Glendening 51.9% vs Novak 42.5% (+11.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Novak 80.7%
Defensive zone
Glendening 80.4%
Neutral zone
Glendening 51.5%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Glendening
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Glendening
Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Novak
0
2
Glendening
Novak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Glendening
2
0
Glendening
Novak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Glendening
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (420)
40.4% (408)
+13.2%
Power Play
100.0% (4)
45.5% (33)
+54.5%
On power play, Glendening has a +54.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Glendening is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (413).
Glendening shoots right. Novak is 39.4% vs right-shot opponents (155).
Home / Away
Glendening
Novak
Home
48.0% (256)
42.0% (212)
Away
55.7% (316)
39.7% (229)
By Period
Glendening
Novak
P1
50.9%
41.9%
P2
51.7%
39.3%
P3
53.3%
42.1%
OT
83.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
39.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Glendening
56.0%▲
49.0%
52.3%
Novak
32.0%▼
39.5%
40.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 16:15 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 05:51 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 16:21 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 17:30 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |