Scouting Report
Luke Johnson holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johnson 49.5% vs Kasper 46.9% (+2.7%)
Offensive zone
Kasper 58.1%
Defensive zone
Johnson 56.1%
Neutral zone
Kasper 55.8%
Result
Marco Kasper favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Johnson
Kasper
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johnson
Kasper
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (202)
47.2% (960)
+3.8%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
46.9% (32)
+19.8%
Penalty Kill
30.0% (20)
30.6% (36)
-0.6%
On power play, Johnson has a +19.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kasper shoots left. Johnson is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (169).
Johnson shoots right. Kasper is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (345).
Home / Away
Johnson
Kasper
Home
53.7% (67)
49.4% (474)
Away
47.5% (158)
44.2% (554)
By Period
Johnson
Kasper
P1
53.8%
48.0%
P2
53.8%
51.0%
P3
39.1%
40.2%
Final 5 min
42.4%
40.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johnson
42.0%▼
49.5%
49.3%
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.0%
46.6%