Scouting Report
Luke Kunin holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kunin on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lapierre 43.4% vs Kunin 50.3% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kunin 60.0%
Defensive zone
Kunin 78.6%
Neutral zone
Kunin 76.9%
Result
Luke Kunin favored at 69.0%
31.0%
69.0%
Lapierre
Kunin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Lapierre
Kunin
Last 6: Lapierre 4-2 Kunin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kunin
1
2
Lapierre
Kunin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lapierre
2
0
Lapierre
Kunin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lapierre
1
0
Lapierre
Kunin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lapierre
Kunin
Edge
Even Strength
40.9% (264)
51.5% (305)
-10.6%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
55.6% (9)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
43.9% (57)
-43.9%
On penalty kill, Kunin has a +43.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kunin shoots right. Lapierre is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (89).
Lapierre shoots left. Kunin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (278).
Home / Away
Lapierre
Kunin
Home
44.2% (138)
50.0% (178)
Away
37.6% (133)
50.8% (193)
By Period
Lapierre
Kunin
P1
55.2%
53.0%
P2
40.6%
53.8%
P3
26.5%
44.1%
Final 5 min
35.3%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lapierre
50.0%▲
41.0%
41.0%
Kunin
44.0%▼
49.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 13:12 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 04:36 | Defensive | Hendrix Lapierre |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 04:26 | Defensive | Hendrix Lapierre |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 05:49 | Offensive | Hendrix Lapierre |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 03:18 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 19:25 | Neutral | Hendrix Lapierre |