Scouting Report
Luke Kunin holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Barzal on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Kunin wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kunin 46.1% vs Barzal 42.2% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Barzal leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Barzal 77.3%
Defensive zone
Kunin 52.5%
Neutral zone
Barzal 63.5%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 66.0%
34.0%
66.0%
Kunin
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Kunin
Barzal
Last 10: Kunin 4-6 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kunin
2
1
Kunin
Barzal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
0
1
Kunin
Barzal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barzal
2
4
Kunin
Barzal
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kunin
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (1,667)
41.9% (3,571)
+5.1%
Power Play
46.0% (139)
43.4% (205)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
40.3% (335)
42.3% (26)
-2.0%
On even strength, Kunin has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Kunin is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (604).
Kunin shoots right. Barzal is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,098).
Home / Away
Kunin
Barzal
Home
45.4% (1,075)
43.2% (1,901)
Away
46.4% (1,066)
40.9% (1,901)
By Period
Kunin
Barzal
P1
47.7%
40.6%
P2
45.7%
44.6%
P3
44.1%
41.1%
OT
50.0%
27.6%
Final 5 min
42.9%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kunin
44.0%▼
49.5%
45.9%
Barzal
44.0%▬
45.0%
42.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2019 | 1 | 18:40 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 1 | 10:43 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |
| Mar 17, 2019 | 3 | 17:05 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 17, 2019 | 3 | 13:59 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Mar 17, 2019 | 3 | 07:15 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Mar 17, 2019 | 3 | 00:30 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 17, 2019 | 2 | 11:11 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 17, 2019 | 2 | 03:57 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 17, 2019 | 2 | 00:57 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 17, 2019 | 1 | 09:28 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |