Scouting Report
Luke Kunin holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kunin on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kunin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Rasmussen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kunin 50.3% vs Rasmussen 47.8% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rasmussen 56.7%
Defensive zone
Kunin 55.9%
Neutral zone
Kunin 51.6%
Result
Luke Kunin favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Kunin
Rasmussen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Kunin
Rasmussen
Last 8: Kunin 4-4 Rasmussen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kunin
Rasmussen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kunin
2
1
Kunin
Rasmussen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rasmussen
1
2
Kunin
Rasmussen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kunin
Rasmussen
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (305)
46.8% (248)
+4.7%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
62.5% (8)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (57)
43.8% (16)
+0.1%
On power play, Rasmussen has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rasmussen shoots left. Kunin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (278).
Kunin shoots right. Rasmussen is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Home / Away
Kunin
Rasmussen
Home
50.0% (178)
50.0% (98)
Away
50.8% (193)
45.4% (174)
By Period
Kunin
Rasmussen
P1
53.0%
40.2%
P2
53.8%
55.8%
P3
44.1%
43.0%
Final 5 min
52.4%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kunin
44.0%▼
49.5%
50.4%
Rasmussen
32.0%▼
43.0%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 06:32 | Neutral | Michael Rasmussen |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 02:47 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 02:34 | Defensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 3 | 19:42 | Neutral | Michael Rasmussen |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 3 | 12:37 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 1 | 09:51 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 1 | 02:49 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 1 | 02:44 | Offensive | Michael Rasmussen |