Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.4% vs 49.8%). Kunin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kunin 50.3% vs Backlund 49.8% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kunin 65.5%
Defensive zone
Backlund 72.3%
Neutral zone
Kunin 51.2%
Result
Luke Kunin favored at 65.5%
65.5%
34.5%
Kunin
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Kunin
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Kunin
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kunin
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (305)
50.5% (944)
+1.0%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
51.5% (66)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (57)
47.1% (297)
-3.2%
On power play, Kunin has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Kunin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (278).
Kunin shoots right. Backlund is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Home / Away
Kunin
Backlund
Home
50.0% (178)
48.1% (636)
Away
50.8% (193)
51.4% (671)
By Period
Kunin
Backlund
P1
53.0%
45.4%
P2
53.8%
54.1%
P3
44.1%
49.2%
Final 5 min
52.4%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kunin
44.0%▼
49.5%
50.4%
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | 3 | 04:41 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |