Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kunin on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kunin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kunin 50.3% vs Paul 53.6% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 83.5%
Defensive zone
Paul 59.4%
Neutral zone
Paul 60.8%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 64.4%
35.6%
64.4%
Kunin
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Kunin
Paul
Last 6: Kunin 4-2 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kunin
1
0
Kunin
Paul
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Kunin
Paul
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kunin
3
1
Kunin
Paul
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kunin
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (305)
53.7% (354)
-2.2%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
59.0% (61)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (57)
52.9% (34)
-9.0%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Kunin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (278).
Kunin shoots right. Paul is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (124).
Home / Away
Kunin
Paul
Home
50.0% (178)
55.1% (216)
Away
50.8% (193)
53.6% (233)
By Period
Kunin
Paul
P1
53.0%
54.9%
P2
53.8%
54.5%
P3
44.1%
54.3%
Final 5 min
52.4%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kunin
44.0%▼
49.5%
50.4%
Paul
54.0%▼
56.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 19:04 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 05:31 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 15:46 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 02:31 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 02:24 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 02:08 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |