Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Kunin wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kunin 46.1% vs Zacha 49.2% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Kunin 63.0%
Defensive zone
Kunin 77.1%
Neutral zone
Kunin 68.5%
Result
Luke Kunin favored at 69.2%
69.2%
30.8%
Kunin
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Kunin
Zacha
Last 10: Kunin 4-6 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
5
Kunin
Zacha
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
2
3
Kunin
Zacha
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kunin
Zacha
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kunin
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (1,667)
48.9% (5,156)
-1.9%
Power Play
46.0% (139)
55.7% (813)
-9.7%
Penalty Kill
40.3% (335)
42.2% (557)
-1.9%
On power play, Zacha has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Kunin is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,537).
Kunin shoots right. Zacha is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,560).
Home / Away
Kunin
Zacha
Home
45.4% (1,075)
49.7% (3,381)
Away
46.4% (1,066)
48.6% (3,145)
By Period
Kunin
Zacha
P1
47.7%
49.9%
P2
45.7%
49.2%
P3
44.1%
48.2%
OT
50.0%
53.5%
Final 5 min
42.9%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kunin
44.0%▼
49.5%
45.9%
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 06:39 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 03:29 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 17:13 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 17:02 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 10:58 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 05:40 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 04:13 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 2 | 12:35 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 2 | 05:41 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 04:10 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 16:18 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 03:39 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 1 | 00:54 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |