Scouting Report
Ryan Hartman holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kunin on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kunin wins 40.0% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kunin 46.4% vs Hartman 47.3% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Hartman leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Hartman 61.7%
Defensive zone
Kunin 57.1%
Neutral zone
Hartman 50.9%
Result
Luke Kunin favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Kunin
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Kunin
Hartman
Last 10: Kunin 5-5 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Kunin
Hartman
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kunin
3
1
Kunin
Hartman
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
2
3
Kunin
Hartman
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kunin
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (366)
47.1% (649)
+1.8%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
47.1% (68)
-12.5%
Penalty Kill
35.2% (88)
45.2% (73)
-10.0%
On power play, Hartman has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Kunin is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Kunin shoots right. Hartman is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (182).
Home / Away
Kunin
Hartman
Home
45.7% (245)
46.5% (361)
Away
45.5% (235)
47.3% (429)
By Period
Kunin
Hartman
P1
46.5%
45.1%
P2
45.0%
44.4%
P3
44.9%
50.9%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
41.8%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kunin
44.0%▼
49.5%
45.6%
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 03:02 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 15:50 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 09:32 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 07:08 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 01:03 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 11:53 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 15:20 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 2 | 04:56 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 2 | 00:36 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 1 | 01:31 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |