Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kunin on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Kunin wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kunin 46.1% vs Johansen 53.3% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 59.8%
Defensive zone
Kunin 71.3%
Neutral zone
Kunin 53.6%
Result
Luke Kunin favored at 57.0%
57.0%
43.0%
Kunin
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
9
(17 meetings)
8
9
Kunin
Johansen
Last 10: Kunin 6-4 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kunin
3
2
Kunin
Johansen
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
3
4
Kunin
Johansen
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
2
3
Kunin
Johansen
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kunin
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (1,667)
53.1% (11,017)
-6.1%
Power Play
46.0% (139)
56.2% (2,163)
-10.2%
Penalty Kill
40.3% (335)
50.5% (978)
-10.2%
On power play, Johansen has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Kunin is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (604).
Kunin shoots right. Johansen is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (4,371).
Home / Away
Kunin
Johansen
Home
45.4% (1,075)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
46.4% (1,066)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Kunin
Johansen
P1
47.7%
53.2%
P2
45.7%
53.9%
P3
44.1%
52.8%
OT
50.0%
58.2%
Final 5 min
42.9%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kunin
44.0%▼
49.5%
45.9%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2019 | 3 | 13:27 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Mar 25, 2019 | 3 | 09:10 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |
| Mar 25, 2019 | 2 | 02:43 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 2 | 16:58 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 2 | 00:40 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 1 | 10:27 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 1 | 06:45 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Mar 3, 2019 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 3, 2019 | 3 | 00:10 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 3, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 3, 2019 | 2 | 06:38 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 3, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 3 | 11:00 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 3 | 10:53 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 1 | 18:16 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 1 | 15:44 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 1 | 15:35 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |