Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Kunin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kunin 50.3% vs O'Reilly 55.0% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 63.2%
Defensive zone
Kunin 66.0%
Neutral zone
Kunin 53.6%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 63.2%
36.8%
63.2%
Kunin
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Kunin
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Kunin
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kunin
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (305)
55.7% (856)
-4.2%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
57.5% (233)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (57)
50.0% (144)
-6.1%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Kunin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (278).
Kunin shoots right. O'Reilly is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (530).
Home / Away
Kunin
O'Reilly
Home
50.0% (178)
55.5% (616)
Away
50.8% (193)
55.3% (617)
By Period
Kunin
O'Reilly
P1
53.0%
58.1%
P2
53.8%
54.9%
P3
44.1%
53.9%
Final 5 min
52.4%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kunin
44.0%▼
49.5%
50.4%
O'Reilly
54.0%▬
55.0%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 04:25 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |