Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Kunin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kunin 50.3% vs Monahan 52.5% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 81.9%
Defensive zone
Monahan 51.8%
Neutral zone
Monahan 63.9%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 62.4%
37.6%
62.4%
Kunin
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Kunin
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kunin
1
0
Kunin
Monahan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kunin
2
0
Kunin
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kunin
1
0
Kunin
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kunin
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (305)
53.0% (874)
-1.5%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
54.7% (161)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (57)
47.5% (101)
-3.6%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Kunin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (278).
Kunin shoots right. Monahan is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (426).
Home / Away
Kunin
Monahan
Home
50.0% (178)
53.8% (558)
Away
50.8% (193)
51.7% (578)
By Period
Kunin
Monahan
P1
53.0%
49.5%
P2
53.8%
54.8%
P3
44.1%
52.8%
Final 5 min
52.4%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kunin
44.0%▼
49.5%
50.4%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 13:47 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 05:08 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 02:25 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 09:43 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |