Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Kunin wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kunin 46.1% vs Aho 51.3% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Kunin 62.3%
Defensive zone
Kunin 91.0%
Neutral zone
Kunin 76.3%
Result
Luke Kunin favored at 71.8%
71.8%
28.2%
Kunin
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Kunin
Aho
Last 10: Kunin 2-8 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
2
5
Kunin
Aho
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kunin
2
1
Kunin
Aho
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
0
2
Kunin
Aho
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kunin
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (1,667)
50.2% (6,646)
-3.2%
Power Play
46.0% (139)
58.9% (1,310)
-12.9%
Penalty Kill
40.3% (335)
46.5% (465)
-6.2%
On power play, Aho has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Kunin is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,537).
Kunin shoots right. Aho is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,104).
Home / Away
Kunin
Aho
Home
45.4% (1,075)
52.4% (4,325)
Away
46.4% (1,066)
50.1% (4,096)
By Period
Kunin
Aho
P1
47.7%
51.1%
P2
45.7%
52.1%
P3
44.1%
50.8%
OT
50.0%
48.9%
Final 5 min
42.9%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kunin
44.0%▼
49.5%
45.9%
Aho
60.0%▲
50.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2026 | 3 | 10:26 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 18:51 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 3 | 13:58 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 2 | 11:21 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 1 | 08:43 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 13:21 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| May 8, 2021 | 2 | 01:48 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 2 | 06:41 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 1 | 00:36 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 3 | 05:30 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 2 | 05:34 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 2 | 00:45 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |