Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kunin wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kunin 46.1% vs Stamkos 51.1% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 59.7%
Defensive zone
Kunin 74.4%
Neutral zone
Kunin 58.0%
Result
Luke Kunin favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
Kunin
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Kunin
Stamkos
Last 10: Kunin 5-5 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Kunin
Stamkos
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
3
Kunin
Stamkos
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kunin
3
2
Kunin
Stamkos
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kunin
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (1,667)
50.5% (9,825)
-3.5%
Power Play
46.0% (139)
55.2% (1,729)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
40.3% (335)
49.6% (827)
-9.3%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Kunin is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (604).
Kunin shoots right. Stamkos is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (3,601).
Home / Away
Kunin
Stamkos
Home
45.4% (1,075)
52.8% (6,270)
Away
46.4% (1,066)
49.3% (6,137)
By Period
Kunin
Stamkos
P1
47.7%
49.2%
P2
45.7%
52.7%
P3
44.1%
50.9%
OT
50.0%
54.3%
Final 5 min
42.9%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kunin
44.0%▼
49.5%
45.9%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2025 | 1 | 14:32 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 16:50 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 19:56 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 00:20 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 3 | 08:49 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 3 | 05:35 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 3 | 05:24 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 2 | 00:45 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 08:09 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |
| Dec 5, 2019 | 2 | 14:30 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 5, 2019 | 2 | 00:32 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 5, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 7, 2019 | 1 | 07:11 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |