Scouting Report
Tyson Kozak holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kunin on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Kunin wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kozak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kunin 46.1% vs Kozak 48.8% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Kunin leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Kozak 57.3%
Defensive zone
Kozak 79.8%
Neutral zone
Kozak 69.6%
Result
Tyson Kozak favored at 66.0%
34.0%
66.0%
Kunin
Kozak
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
3
(12 meetings)
9
3
Kunin
Kozak
Last 10: Kunin 7-3 Kozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kunin
5
1
Kunin
Kozak
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kozak
1
2
Kunin
Kozak
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kunin
3
0
Kunin
Kozak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kunin
Kozak
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (1,667)
48.3% (431)
-1.3%
Power Play
46.0% (139)
62.5% (8)
-16.5%
Penalty Kill
40.3% (335)
48.9% (45)
-8.6%
On power play, Kozak has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kozak shoots left. Kunin is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,537).
Kunin shoots right. Kozak is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (162).
Home / Away
Kunin
Kozak
Home
45.4% (1,075)
47.6% (229)
Away
46.4% (1,066)
49.4% (255)
By Period
Kunin
Kozak
P1
47.7%
54.4%
P2
45.7%
45.7%
P3
44.1%
45.7%
Final 5 min
42.9%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kunin
44.0%▼
49.5%
45.9%
Kozak
50.0%▬
49.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | 2 | 08:24 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 2 | 02:54 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 1 | 12:42 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 1 | 09:34 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 1 | 01:35 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 10:30 | Defensive | Tyson Kozak |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 01:57 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 1 | 02:08 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 1 | 02:00 | Offensive | Tyson Kozak |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 12:48 | Defensive | Tyson Kozak |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 09:25 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 06:06 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |